Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.392593 3.963876 4.569566 5.256372 6.010358 6.809841 7.718570
2025-01-05 2.600704 3.394857 4.297167 5.384515 6.645711 8.049589 9.717376
2025-01-12 2.015421 2.927718 4.033304 5.438898 7.145990 9.121584 11.549816
2025-01-19 1.538203 2.491304 3.721949 5.366626 7.447747 9.938059 13.086944
2025-01-26 1.247240 2.234896 3.584925 5.467879 7.932333 10.961005 14.875948
2025-02-02 1.021064 2.021655 3.465955 5.560683 8.385440 11.937556 16.615303
2025-02-09 0.783453 1.741326 3.210906 5.433347 8.524498 12.502858 17.839388
2025-02-16 0.597675 1.502022 2.978750 5.305061 8.636605 13.017050 18.991770
2025-02-23 0.477749 1.348737 2.854144 5.311587 8.919024 13.747006 20.422302
2025-03-02 0.364582 1.178239 2.676615 5.217449 9.044336 14.259261 21.568648
2025-03-09 0.316973 1.130564 2.697056 5.422636 9.597961 15.354727 23.494525
2025-03-16 0.251827 1.024764 2.600811 5.432159 9.859875 16.050945 24.896249
2025-03-23 0.224340 1.005209 2.663008 5.706823 10.532776 17.343393 27.140064
2025-03-30 0.194551 0.971127 2.693564 5.929564 11.134015 18.548842 29.288569
2025-04-06 0.158106 0.905283 2.653452 6.028287 11.546797 19.495219 31.098736
2025-04-13 0.116765 0.804741 2.528413 5.969333 11.709580 20.085248 32.426361
2025-04-20 0.094402 0.756793 2.506304 6.086836 12.147558 21.073559 34.312669
2025-04-27 0.075239 0.709916 2.479221 6.190681 12.562676 22.031656 36.165071
2025-05-04 0.049926 0.615756 2.328962 6.055470 12.585146 22.412938 37.213038
2025-05-11 0.031378 0.531277 2.185044 5.918134 12.593712 22.767678 38.222271
2025-05-18 0.021373 0.481915 2.119726 5.925543 12.837809 23.472503 39.731924
2025-05-25 0.012274 0.418734 2.004797 5.824270 12.892489 23.890061 40.833337
2025-06-01 0.009932 0.412699 2.048168 6.045415 13.499406 25.150067 43.154781